Alan's Resignation Is Most Likely A Political Calculation To Dwindle The Fortune Of The Ndc In The 2024 General Elections.

In as much as some people are sad about the sudden resignation of Alan from the ruling NPP party, others are skeptical about the authenticity of this resignation because of the fuss surrounding it. Could this be real or it is another political calculation to manipulate and outfox the NDC?

I hope many who read this article will see the benefits of the paradox in Alan's resignation as they relate it to what happened in the 2000 general elections, where the NPP in a way succeeded in creating some divisions within itself that went a long way to benefit them in that election. However, one needs tactical and political eyes to see it as such.

In the presidential election of 2000, former president John Kufuor of the New Patriotic Party (NPP) led the election in the first round of voting, taking 48 percent of the votes. Also, the then Vice President, John Atta Mills ( may his soul rest in peace) of the National Democratic Congress (NDC) finished second, with 44 percent. Kufuor defeated Atta-Mills in the second round with 57 percent of the vote. The NPP also won the elections, ending the almost 19 years of the PNDC/NDC dominance in the political space in Ghana.

Certainly, the fragmentation that took place within the NPP resulted in a key member of the party, Dr. Charles Wereko Brobbey breaking away and forming a political party called the UGM. It must be noted that this prevented the NDC from getting a straight win and pushed the elections into a second run. Even though the dynamics of then and now are not the same, there are striking similarities between the two scenarios and one wouldn't be wrong to think that the NPP is on the same path to obstruct the NDC from getting a one-touch win come 2024.

Looking at the incredible records of Alan in the NPP party since 1992, one would have thought that no one should have contested him going into the current presidential election. He not only served the party from its inception but also made a tremendous sacrifice by allowing Nana Addo, who was his main contender to go unopposed after a stiff presidential primary that saw none winning at once. His hope at that time was that one day, he would be granted the same opportunity to go unopposed and to lead the NPP into a general election. But little did he know that political leadership wasn't the same as picking a successor in a dynasty.

Again, it must be noted that Bawumia is a mere newcomer to the NPP. It is therefore not surprising to hear some disgruntled members of the NPP questioning his loyalty as well as his contribution to the party. You might have also heard how his membership records were embellished to allow him to be picked as a running mate by the then-presidential candidate of the NPP, Nana Addo.

Arguably, some members of the NPP even believe that apart from Bawumia being used as a key witness during the 2012 presidential election petition, he has nothing to show as his achievement so far being a vice president. Others also feel impressively disappointed that all his magniloquence were mere economic book theories that can't be put into practice in modern-day governance. Tarnished as his records and performance look, he seems to be the favourite of the so-called power brokers within the NPP and they are doing everything possible to let him lead the party. All these point to the fact that the chance of Alan winning the yet-to-be-held primaries is as slim as a mosquito. Also, there is a long list of potential candidates for the position of vice in the party and Alan's name is surely missing from that list too.

Alan can't win the race and it's impossible to secure the position of vice too. Therefore, breaking away to form a new party will push the election into a second run and finally help the NPP break the unthinkable 8 should there be a second run. This is where the calculation and manipulation come in. When that is done, the NPP will need Alan's support to break the 8 and this is where he, Alan, will pick and choose what he needs from the NPP before supporting the party in the second run.

Finally, I'm not a political pundit but I think everything points to the fact that Alan's resignation from the NPP comes as a political strategy to outwit the NDC which believes the election may be won at all cost.

Ghanaians are watching!