Africa be careful: the Russians are coming

Russia and Ukraine war is the starting point for the superpower of today to step back into the second line of world politics. An atomic bombs superpower will see its deadly arsenal rust in underground bunkers, a waste of time and money. The country by landmass is the biggest in the world, blessed with natural resources but a relatively small population compared to its size.

Russia depends heavily on the export of gas and oil to Europe. The war in Ukraine has pushed Europe to reposition and faster cut the dependency on Russia in this sector. It is a matter of 1-2 years before Europe can distance itself from the import. Other commodities made in Russia are not important to Europe or the Western World. Many companies in Europe have declared their disinterest to do business in Russia after the war has ended with a Putin regime and will be hesitant to jump on the wagon with the next regime. The Russians supporting or ignoring the war will still be around in support of the next regime.

The effects of the Ukraine war and sanctions on the Oligarchs and Russia at large in the light of the expectations of the Russians will see a collapsed economy even hackers cannot save from going down under. The level of profitable production will stagnate at its current limited level based on the political system of the country.

Exporting more oil and gas and other communities to Russian friendly China is a dead end as the most populated country in the world has its specific agenda to keep the USA and Russia under its feet for generations to come.

Where is space for Russia to make money? Africa is the most likely target to sell goods and services besides taking cheap natural resources from the continent at a much larger scale as seen today. The race is on as China does not want to lose out on the play. Europe will stand idle stranded in between the superpowers struggling with moral guilt and economic migrants in their numbers hitting their shores.

Russia will hit hard on Africa hoping and trusting to use money and further corrupt African leaders to sneak into their economies and societies like a spider going out for its meal. The current well known African problems will increase but bear a chance for the wisest African countries. As the old saying goes: when two parties fight the third party will smile.