NDC won 9 regions out of the 16 regions. The governing NPP won the remaining 7 regions.
When you subtract the NPP votes obtained from the NDC votes obtained, these are the differences;
1. Bono East - 60,353
2. Greater Accra - 73,310
3. Northern Region - 66,587
4. Oti region - 77,156
5. Savanna - 63,639
6. Upper West - 117,742
7. Upper East - 165,162
8. Volta - 506,027
9. Western North - 21,316
Total = 1,033,550
Oti Region and Volta gave NDC combined votes of 583,183
Ashanti Region alone gave NDC 653,149.
The difference between the NPP and the NDC in the Ashanti region is 1,142,675
1. Clearly, the swing region thing is overhyped. Their margins DO NOT change much. Adding the difference in Central, Western, and Greater Accra regions is 189, 460. Wining the swing regions isn’t enough. You’ve to win and win big. Elections are won with margins not the number of regions.
2. Ashanti Region votes cancelled out all the votes’ difference of the NDC in the 9 regions it won and had extra, 109,125 votes.
This is why the Ashanti NDC always wants a targeted 30%. They had 26.1% of the votes. That percentage gave them more votes than the Oti and Volta region combined.
• Oti Region and Volta gave NDC combined votes of 583,183
• Ashanti Region alone gave NDC 653,149
3. At this juncture and per that data, the only region that can help the NPP break the 8-year cycle jinx/trend going into 2024 is the Ashanti Region.