Research by Manfred Zysk, M.E., 3/20/2008Updated June 1, 2008

Atmospheric Shift, Global Warming and Climate Change are truly a reality with convincing and alarming evidence such as Scandinavian Countries are experiencing 3-4 weeks of warmer weather and pools of water have been seen directly on the North Pole, including widespread famines in Africa and droughts in Australia. An article 3 years ago in the Oregonian newspaper described the changes in the local weather by 7.2 degrees in the last 50 years, or close to 1.4 for every 10 years. In May, 2008, the US Dept. of Energy disclosed that Carbon Dioxide makes up more than 80% of the human produced US greenhouse gas emissions that contribute to global warming. Upon further probing and investigation of numerous Climate Change factors, certain answers and conclusions become evident from past and current nationwide/global climate fluctuations.

Global Warming is becoming a more complex issue, as the climate is changing and more severe weather patterns emerge. Global Warming has to be classified into two (2) separate and distinct weather functions, because there are basically 2 separate climate seasons of summer and winter, but each functions with more severity with (tropical) heat during the summer and (arctic) cold in the winter. This is explained by the thinner Ozone Layer causing hotter temperatures in the summer, and the creation of arctic Ozone Holes during the winter months forcing frigid space temperatures and arctic cold temperatures to swoop and swoosh over large portions of the Northern and Southern Hemisphere during the winter months. If the Ozone Holes become even larger and the Ozone Holes stay open longer for an additional week, and/or it takes longer to close the Ozone Holes, then it can be estimated that very large amounts of frigid cold currents from space will cause major winter climate changes and an extended winter season. Both of these different climate functions are exhibiting greater severity, and are primarily caused by CO2 Concentrations in the atmosphere, and are classified correctly as Global Warming and Climate Change, or more correctly as an Atmospheric Shift.

The Antarctic and Arctic regions are undergoing major climate changes, and the ice shelves are melting at an alarming rate due to warmer temperatures and because of higher concentrations of CO2 and greenhouse gases in the atmosphere primarily from fossil fuel emissions. As the ice is melting, the water is distributed globally, and the water is concentrated in larger quantities in the Southern Hemisphere, because the earth's landmasses are predominantly located in the Northern Hemisphere. The world's landmass surface amounts to 30% of the Earth's surface area, and the oceans comprise the other 70% of the world surface area. The redistribution of melted water weight from the Arctic and Antarctic into the Southern Hemisphere causes the shifting of the North/South Pole Axis, which has occurred more rapidly, and has accelerated in the last 40 years.

In 1994, the National Geomagnetic Program of Geological Survey of Canada monitored the North Magnetic Pole movement, and found that the Magnetic Pole movement was approximately 9 miles (15 kilometers) each year. According to National Geographic Article of 12/15/2005, new research shows the North Pole is moving into the direction of Siberia at a rather fast pace at 25 miles (40 kilometers) a year and the movement of the Pole definitely appear to be accelerating. The Magnetic North Pole is located 1,000 miles (1,600 kilometers) south of the Geographic North Pole. The North Magnetic Pole, on average moves in an elliptical pattern of 50 miles from its center point on a daily basis. Further research also shows that such substantial North Magnetic Pole movements are followed correspondingly by the Geographic North Pole and the Equator. Previous evidence of the shifting of the Earth's Axis were finds of corals in Newfoundland, elephants in Alaska, fig trees in Northern Greenland, and luxurious forests, ferns, fossilized tree-stumps and coal in Antarctica, water lilies and fossilized palm leaves to 12 feet long in Spitzbergen, swamp cypress within 500 miles of the North Pole in the Miocene period, and mastodons in Siberia with fresh tropical grass in the mouth and stomach without any body tissue deterioration, which confirms that death and freezing was very sudden within a few hours.

Fossil Fuel Depletion can reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) and greenhouse gases eventually if an alternative to oil is allowed to be developed, but the oil industry is determined to keep control over the oil, auto industry, and the energy field. The oil industry is trying to keep the world economy afloat, but has problems to meet the world=s demand for oil due to oil depletion and constant population growth. Pumping oil from reservoirs at maximum capabilities to satisfy world demands, while exploration and finding new oil fields are diminishing and become futile, then the oil depletion rate is heading into a virtual nosedive in the near future. All natural resources are finite, except for sand and stones.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) in Paris up to now was only concerned about world oil demand, and now plans to conduct research and release a report on world oil supply and oil availability in November, 2008. This is very late, as oil has already reached over $135 per barrel, but the oil supply/depletion data and oil field capacities are a closely guarded secret by the supplier countries. On 18 April, 2007, energy consultants HIS disclosed up to 100 billion barrels of oil remained to be discovered in Western Iraq. On 23 April, 2007, the US Geological Survey estimated Iraq's undiscovered oil as 0.5 billion barrels at 95% probability and 1.6 billion at 50% probability. This region was explored decades ago, and wild speculators are at work who are hungry for foolish investors.

A report on May 29, 2008 about Mr. Sadad Al-Husseini, a former top executive of Saudi Aramco, Saudi Arabia's state-owned oil company alleges: Oil producing countries are inflating the size of their oil reserves by as much as 300 billion barrels by padding supposedly proven reserves with “probable” reserves and tar and oil sands. That, he said, has prompted speculation that global oil reserves may be over twice current estimates. Such hypothetical reserves are “not delineated, not accessible and not available for production, Husseini said at a recent energy conference in London. Oil companies mix proven finds with probable reserves that may have only a 50% chance of getting out of the ground, and also count “unconventional hydrocarbons, inaccessible oil accumulations and unconfirmed recoveries, none of which fit the current definitions of proven or probable reserves.” Take the 140 billion barrels of Canadian bitumen that's regularly reported as proven oil reserves. In reality, Husseini alleged, only a small fraction of that will be converted to useful fuels. Adding to the confusion, the U.S. Geological Survey and others have mixed up reserves with resources, combining proven and probable fields with speculative, undiscovered hydrocarbons. Oil production has now reached its peak and will begin dropping in 15 years or less, earlier than most other experts predict.

We lose just over 4 mbpd per year for depletion and demand has been increasing about 1.5 mbpd per year. In order to add 15 mbpd of production by 2012 we need to find and produce nearly 30 mbpd of new oil just to offset depletion and this new demand.

A lawsuit in 2007 demanded the release of the U.S. Climate Change Program Scientific Assessment of the Effects of Global Change on the United States by the White House National Science and Technology Council (NSTC) with the U.S. Climate Change Science Program was prepared at a cost of $20 billion in research alone. The Bush Administration, bowing to a Court Order, was forced to release a fresh summary of federal and independent research pointing to large, and mainly harmful, impact of human-caused global warming in the United States. When such harmful information from government sponsored research, having major economic, health and financial consequences to this nation, is deliberately withheld from the public by the President of the United States and his staff, then such actions constitute willful obstruction and criminal activities. Major and severe climate changes that now occur in the USA, confirms the research report of the U.S. Climate Change Program Scientific Research Assessment.

Because of the dissension and turbulence about the validity of Global Warming and Climate Change facts by the political right factions, oil companies, and the news media, I have taken the time to analyze and dissect the latest available NASA Satellite Ozone Hole Size data, detailed graphs and charts that have been furnished by the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center from annual 1980 to 2007 at: www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov. The National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) monitors the progression of the ozone hole from space and on the ground in Antarctica.

My research was to establish if there is any solid and actual proof if Global Warming and Climate Change are becoming worse according to a rational progression of data from 1980 to 2008, and to make this data available to the public from other sources, than from my own research. My research is a summation and involved various factors, and covered the gradual progression of the size of the ozone hole, the progression of the ozone hole duration (season) in days, and the steady increase in volume and concentration of Carbon Dioxide in the Stratosphere at: www.theozonehole.com

My research has shown very large variations and fluctuations in data and graphs, but when analyzing these variables from 1980 to the present, then an absolute progression in data is evident toward larger ozone holes, major increases in annual CO2 concentrations from a high of 3 million Square Kilometers in 1980 to 24 million Square Kilometers in 2007, and a 32% extended ozone hole duration between 9 to 19.5 additional days over a period of 10 and 27 years. Due to my latest analysis of severe weather fluctuations in the summer and the winter seasons, this planet could experience an Atmospheric Shift of drastic and worse weather seasons with very hot summers and very cold winters.

Scientists from the Alfred Wegener Institute of the Helmholtz Scientific Association in Germany are now involved in factual climate models pertaining to atmospheric temperature fluctuations, polar vortexes, Arctic Oscillations, Stratospheric Ozone Chemistry and air flow patterns at the Arctic and Antarctic Polar Regions involving complex global climate models by linking the atmosphere, ocean temperatures and ocean currents or gulf streams from satellite and on the ground observations. At this point their research contains still a high level of uncertainty, but will be factored into future climate calculation models. Please see: www.theozonehole.com/stratosphericchemistry.htm.

Increased variations in the cold winter climate causes many people to question global warming and climate change, and dissenters are calling global warming a fraud, without having all the facts, and insufficient basic knowledge about the current and fluctuating weather.

As the world population multiplied during the last 1,000 years, huge, global forested lands have been cut down for building houses, and wood and coal was mainly used for heating and cooking. Gradually the oxygen content decreased and the carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations increased accordingly and have been absorbed by the oceans, vegetation and in the atmosphere. Today, the world population consumes vast amounts of fossil fuel and the carbon dioxide from fossil fuel and manufactured airborne chemicals and gases amount to staggering billions of tons of acids annually in the atmosphere, which then cause the destruction of the ozone in the stratosphere. As a result, the ozone layer around the world is becoming thinner and the most drastic effects are shown in the cold arctic pole and Antarctic pole regions, where the carbon dioxide and acids are most active and destructive. But this is starting to change.

When considering all the climate variables, the continued thinning of the ozone layer, and ocean water evaporation, and present carbon dioxide/chemical emissions, it is difficult to determine at this time if this planet is heading ultimately into a hot desert type planet, or if this planet is then headed into another ice age in the near future. This research involves the thermal functions and temperature fluctuations on an annual basis over a period of time, and calculating the effects of global carbon dioxide and chemical emissions as well as the temperature fluctuations of the gulfstream, jet stream, ocean currents, ocean acidity and water evaporation.

Certain physical markers and indicators already point toward a direction that could create a hot, desert type planet as well as the beginning of a new ice age. Major reductions in carbon dioxide could perhaps prevent the severity of these massive temperature fluctuations and Atmospheric Shift, and stabilize the world atmosphere for a habitable future of the human race, but that is wishful thinking in view of our present political arrogance, world economic domination plans, and the plundering of natural resources.

Biofuel produces equally large quantities of carbon dioxide, and biofuel production will be affected by Global Warming, Atmospheric Shift or Climate Change. As droughts, land degradation and salination are accelerating from present world land abandonment the size of Indiana (37,000 Square Miles) every year, the summer temperatures are expected to move northward several hundred miles in a relatively short time span.

This is not a time to place the blame or to condemn the causes for Global Warming, Climate Change and Atmospheric Shift any longer, but we are at a point in history where it becomes necessary to identify and eliminate the carbon dioxide emissions most effectively. Half-way measures will not be an option any longer in view of the current climate disasters caused to the ecology by hurricanes, tornados, floods, droughts, rainfall, thunderstorms, snowstorms, blizzards, high winds, major temperature swings, polar ice melting and rising global ocean water flood levels. NASA scientists, and scientists from the World Glacier Monitoring Service in Zurich stated that Arctic ice is already melting before the winter season is over, and the thinning and melting of glaciers in Alaska, Antarctica and Himalayas has more than doubled between 2004 and 2006.  Continued    Source: Manfred Zysk, M.E.