body-container-line-1

Outsider Obi wins key state Lagos in Nigeria election

By Patrick Markey with Louise Dewast in Port Harcourt
Nigeria INEC insisted problems with uploading results  were due 'technical hitches' and there was no risk of tampering.  By Patrick Meinhardt AFP
FEB 27, 2023 LISTEN
INEC insisted problems with uploading results were due 'technical hitches' and there was no risk of tampering. By Patrick Meinhardt (AFP)

Nigeria's outsider candidate Peter Obi has won the key state of Lagos, according to provisional results on Monday from the tight race for the presidency of Africa's most populous nation.

The Lagos State win by Labour Party's Obi underscored his surprise challenge to ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) and main opposition Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), which have governed Nigeria since the end of military rule in 1999.

Nearly 90 million were eligible to vote on Saturday for a successor to President Muhammadu Buhari, with many hoping a new leader can bring real change to tackle insecurity, economic malaise and widening poverty.

The closely fought race pits Obi against two old-guard rivals, APC's Bola Tinubu, 70, a former Lagos governor, and PDP's Atiku Abubakar, a former vice president on his sixth bid at the presidency.

The tight Nigerian election race has led to a tense wait for the results.  By PIUS UTOMI EKPEI AFP The tight Nigerian election race has led to a tense wait for the results. By PIUS UTOMI EKPEI (AFP)

Voting on Saturday was mostly peaceful, although thugs ransacked some polling stations and many others opened very late. But the slow pace of state by state counting and accusations of manipulation have fuelled tensions.

With more than seven million registered voters, Lagos is one of the key states candidates must win in the presidential race. The megacity is also the bastion of APC's Tinubu, who governed Lagos from 1999 to 2007.

According to provisional results from the local Lagos office of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), Obi won more than 582,000 votes against around 572,000 for Tinubu.

Obi, 61, a former Anambra State governor, has attracted younger voters with a campaign message of change from his two septuagenarian rivals.

Tinubu, 70, known as the "Godfather of Lagos" for his political influence, accepted his Lagos State defeat and urged his supporters to remain calm.

Map of Nigeria showing registered voters by state, ahead of presidential and general elections on February 25.  By Jonathan WALTER AFP Map of Nigeria showing registered voters by state, ahead of presidential and general elections on February 25. By Jonathan WALTER (AFP)

"The fact that the APC narrowly lost Lagos State to another party should not be the reason for violence," he said in a statement. "As a democrat, you win some, you lose some."

Slow count

INEC has so far only released official results from four of Nigeria's 36 states and the inal count could take days.

Tinubu had won western Kwara State and southwestern states of Ondo and Ekiti while PDP's Abubakar won Osun state, according to official INEC tallies. It was expected to confirm the Lagos results later Monday.

To win the presidency, a candidate must garner the most votes, but also win at 25 percent of votes cast in two-thirds of Nigeria's 36 states to reflect a country equally split between a mostly Muslim north and widely Christian south as well as three main ethnic groups.

Voting is usually determined by large key states such as Lagos, northwestern Kano and Kaduna.

"Let's be cautious, it's not the first time that the APC has lost Lagos in a presidential election. It's an upset," head of Eurasia Group's Africa practice Amaka Anku told AFP.

Votes for the presidency are tallied by hand at local polling stations and results are uploaded online to INEC's central database IReV, which is meant to improve transparency.

But slow uploading of results to INEC's website has fuelled worries of malpractice in a country with a history of ballot rigging and vote buying.

PDP on Monday accused the ruling APC governors of pressuring INEC over results in the southeast and in parts of Lagos.

Soldiers from the Nigerian Armed Forces were at a Lagos market to quell tensions there.  By JOHN WESSELS AFP Soldiers from the Nigerian Armed Forces were at a Lagos market to quell tensions there. By JOHN WESSELS (AFP)

"APC is doing all in its means to cheat in Lagos," PDP spokesman Dele Momodu told reporters.

The Labour Party also accused APC of trying to manipulate counting in Lagos and southern Delta state, though the ruling party dismissed those claims.

Nigeria's police force on Monday urged presidential candidates to "caution their party stalwarts and supporters to avoid making inciting comments".

On Monday, dozens of troops were deployed around a large Lagos market area, where police said "hoodlums" had been harassing market owners, an AFP correspondent at the scene said.

No sabotage

INEC said on Sunday problems with uploading results were due to "technical hitches" and there was no risk of tampering.

"The commission wishes to assure Nigerians that the challenges are not due to any intrusion or sabotage of our systems," it said.

The vote in Africa's biggest democracy is being closely watched elsewhere in a region battered by coups in Guinea, Burkina Faso and Mali, and growing Islamist militancy.

Tinubu, a southern ethnic Yoruba Muslim, and Abubakar, Muslim from the northeast, are long-time political fixtures who have fought off past corruption accusations. But the emergence of Obi -- a Christian ethnic Igbo from the southeast -- threw the race open.

Some analysts are forecasting a runoff between the two frontrunners if no candidate meets election requirements -- a first in Nigeria's history. It would have to be organised within 21 days.

Buhari, a former army general first elected in 2015, will step down after two terms in office. His critics say he failed in his key promises to make Nigeria safer.

Whoever replaces him must quickly get to grips with Africa's largest economy and top oil producer, beset by problems including a grinding jihadist war in the northeast and double-digit inflation.

body-container-line